forecast
Slight RIsk For Today
05/28/2009 07:41
Slight risk of severe weather today:
Greatest risk looks to be wind and/or hail:
Tornado risk is pretty low:
All this stormy weather should clear out by the weekend. Lows will be a very comfortable upper 50's with highs in the mid to upper 80's (YUCK - Summer is coming, and I HATE IT).
Greatest risk looks to be wind and/or hail:
Tornado risk is pretty low:
All this stormy weather should clear out by the weekend. Lows will be a very comfortable upper 50's with highs in the mid to upper 80's (YUCK - Summer is coming, and I HATE IT).
Boring Here, But Not So Much In The Middle
05/13/2009 10:32
The weather has been mostly boring around here of late... I'm sure there are a lot of folks who aren't complaining about that...
However, things look to be rough in the middle of the country today:
A new massive effort to study severe weather called VORTEX2 began just a few days ago... Today looks to be their first real chance at getting data! Good luck V2!!!
http://tornadoscientists.blogspot.com/
http://www.vortex2.org/home
http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/vortex2/
http://www.facebook.com/pages/VORTEX2/57534205998
However, things look to be rough in the middle of the country today:
A new massive effort to study severe weather called VORTEX2 began just a few days ago... Today looks to be their first real chance at getting data! Good luck V2!!!
http://tornadoscientists.blogspot.com/
http://www.vortex2.org/home
http://www.nssl.noaa.gov/vortex2/
http://www.facebook.com/pages/VORTEX2/57534205998
Yet Another Potential Severe Wx Day
05/06/2009 09:35
Well folks... Looks like we might be in for yet another day of severe weather... Similar to a couple of days ago, the biggest severe threat looks to be from wind...
Meanwhile, it looks like we might get hammered with some very heavy rain...
Stay safe!
Meanwhile, it looks like we might get hammered with some very heavy rain...
Stay safe!
Severe Thunderstorm Watch
05/03/2009 16:55
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0690
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 PM CDT SUN MAY 03 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...WRN GA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 233...
VALID 032013Z - 032115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 233
CONTINUES.
SQUALL LINE HAS DEFINITELY SLOWED TO AROUND 40KT AS IT PROGRESSES
ACROSS CNTRL INTO ERN AL...THOUGH PRIMARY BOW ALONG NRN SECTIONS OF
LINE IS RACING NNEWD AT ROUGHLY 50KT INTO TALLADEGA COUNTY. AHEAD
OF THIS BOW ECHO...ONE LONE SUPERCELL CONTINUES ITS NEWD TRACK ALONG
OLD BOUNDARY INTO CALHOUN COUNTY. THIS LEAD SUPERCELL SHOULD TRACK
INTO POLK/FLOYD COUNTY REGION OF GA WITHIN THE HOUR. GIVEN THE
FORWARD PROGRESS OF THIS LINEAR MCS HAS SLOWED IT APPEARS OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT WILL LINGER ACROSS WW233 FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. FOR
THIS REASON IT WILL BE NECESSARY TO EXTEND THE WATCH IN TIME.
Severe Storms?
05/02/2009 09:14
After last nite's surprise storms, it looks like we might be under the gun again today and tonite for more severe weather...
SPC has put out a "slight" risk for the area with the biggest potential hazards being wind, hail, and lightning...
Thankfully, as of now, the tornado threat is well to our west...
Stay safe!
SPC has put out a "slight" risk for the area with the biggest potential hazards being wind, hail, and lightning...
Thankfully, as of now, the tornado threat is well to our west...
Stay safe!
Slight Chance For Severe Sunday?
04/17/2009 10:08
SPC has put out a "slight" risk for severe weather Sunday:
Meanwhile, today and tomorrow will be nothing short of awesome! Sunny and low 70's! Enjoy it while it lasts, for the hell that is summer in Atlanta looms...
Meanwhile, today and tomorrow will be nothing short of awesome! Sunny and low 70's! Enjoy it while it lasts, for the hell that is summer in Atlanta looms...
Rainy Morning & Damaging Winds
04/13/2009 08:34
Just a little over an inch of rain since last night. Numerous reports of power outages and trees down across N. Alabama and N. Georgia. There is a high wind warning in effect for areas to the north and west and just a wind advisory for the Atlanta area until 10am.
The bulk of the rain is ending from the NW leaving just scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm for the rest of today.
The bulk of the rain is ending from the NW leaving just scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm for the rest of today.
Today Could Get Ugly...
04/10/2009 08:57
Today could get ugly... Here is the latest outlook from SPC:
Concern For Tomorrow Grows...
04/09/2009 17:47
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
355 PM EDT THU APR 9 2009
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM TO CONTINUE THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS CLOSED LOW LIFTING OUT OF THE SW
U.S. INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT...THEN MOVING EAST TOWARD THE
MID-ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND PHASING IN WITH THE EXISTING POLAR
VORTEX. THERE WILL BE TWO PHASES OF THIS SYSTEM TO AFFECT OUR CWA.
FIRST...AN AREA OF SHRA/TSRA CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX REGION WILL SPREAD INTO AL/GA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI.
ALTHOUGH THE SFC AIR MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY AT THAT POINT WITH
DEWPOINTS 50 NORTH TO 58 SOUTH...HELICTY/SHEAR ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE.
AN AXIS OF 400+ HELICITY AND -4 LIS APPROACH THE WESTERN BORDER OF GA
BY 12Z FRI. ECMWF/GFS/NAM ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT ONGOING
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY/MID-SOUTH WILL INTENSIFY AND
SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND LIKELY TAKE ON THE FORM OF A SQUALL
LINE. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR DAMAGING WINDS EARLY FRI IN NW/WC GA.
AS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADS EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE
MORNING...IT SHOULD DIMINISH. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY BREAK DURING THE
AFTERNOON BEHIND THIS INITIAL LINE OF CONVECTION LEAVING A
WARM...MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE. AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...A SECONDARY LOBE OF STRONG SHEAR/HELICITY
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA. LIS DROP TO -6...CAPES GREATER THAN 1500
J/KG...AND THE EHI RISES TO AN IMPRESSIVE AND VERY CONCERNING 4.5
ACROSS N GA. DISCRETE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FRI
AFTN/EVE...WITH ALL FACETS OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE...INCLUDING
TORNADOES. SPC IS BORDERING ON A MODERATE RISK FOR OUR CWA...AND
LATER OUTLOOKS MAY WELL BE UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK AT LEAST FOR
A LARGE PORTION OF N GA FRI AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM PHASES/LIFTS OUT
OF THE AREA AROUND 06Z SAT AND THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WX ENDS QUICKLY
AT THAT TIME. SOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE POSSIBLE IN THE NE MOUNTAINS
EARLY SAT...BUT WILL NOT ADVERTISE AT THIS TIME. SATURDAY LOOKS DRY
AND PLEASANT WITH A BRIEF BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
355 PM EDT THU APR 9 2009
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WITH ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM TO CONTINUE THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS CLOSED LOW LIFTING OUT OF THE SW
U.S. INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT...THEN MOVING EAST TOWARD THE
MID-ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND PHASING IN WITH THE EXISTING POLAR
VORTEX. THERE WILL BE TWO PHASES OF THIS SYSTEM TO AFFECT OUR CWA.
FIRST...AN AREA OF SHRA/TSRA CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX REGION WILL SPREAD INTO AL/GA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI.
ALTHOUGH THE SFC AIR MASS REMAINS RELATIVELY DRY AT THAT POINT WITH
DEWPOINTS 50 NORTH TO 58 SOUTH...HELICTY/SHEAR ARE QUITE IMPRESSIVE.
AN AXIS OF 400+ HELICITY AND -4 LIS APPROACH THE WESTERN BORDER OF GA
BY 12Z FRI. ECMWF/GFS/NAM ALL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT ONGOING
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY/MID-SOUTH WILL INTENSIFY AND
SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND LIKELY TAKE ON THE FORM OF A SQUALL
LINE. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR DAMAGING WINDS EARLY FRI IN NW/WC GA.
AS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADS EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE
MORNING...IT SHOULD DIMINISH. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY BREAK DURING THE
AFTERNOON BEHIND THIS INITIAL LINE OF CONVECTION LEAVING A
WARM...MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE. AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES
INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...A SECONDARY LOBE OF STRONG SHEAR/HELICITY
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA. LIS DROP TO -6...CAPES GREATER THAN 1500
J/KG...AND THE EHI RISES TO AN IMPRESSIVE AND VERY CONCERNING 4.5
ACROSS N GA. DISCRETE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FRI
AFTN/EVE...WITH ALL FACETS OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE...INCLUDING
TORNADOES. SPC IS BORDERING ON A MODERATE RISK FOR OUR CWA...AND
LATER OUTLOOKS MAY WELL BE UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK AT LEAST FOR
A LARGE PORTION OF N GA FRI AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM PHASES/LIFTS OUT
OF THE AREA AROUND 06Z SAT AND THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WX ENDS QUICKLY
AT THAT TIME. SOME WRAP AROUND MOISTURE POSSIBLE IN THE NE MOUNTAINS
EARLY SAT...BUT WILL NOT ADVERTISE AT THIS TIME. SATURDAY LOOKS DRY
AND PLEASANT WITH A BRIEF BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS.
Severe Wx Tomorrow?
04/09/2009 07:25
Looks like we might be in for some severe weather tomorrow... SPC has put out a "slight risk" for tomorrow:
Winter's Last Word
04/05/2009 19:27
Looks like we are definitely in for a freeze... along with a shot at a little bit of SNOW?!
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
422 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-041>049-052>055-057-060830-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL-
DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-HEARD-
COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-HENRY-
422 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009
...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MIX POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT
USHERING IN VERY COLD AIR FOR THIS LATE IN THE SEASON. THERE WILL
BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. IT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR THESE SHOWERS
TO BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH
GEORGIA...MAINLY FROM THE ATLANTA METROPOLITAN AREA TO ATHENS AND
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN QUITE MILD RECENTLY AND THE
GROUND IS FAIRLY WARM...SO MOST AREAS SHOULD NOT SEE ANY
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OTHER THAN A DUSTING ON GRASSY
SURFACES. IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH GEORGIA MOUNTAINS
UP TO A HALF INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE.
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
422 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>037-041>049-052>055-057-060830-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-HARALSON-CARROLL-
DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-HEARD-
COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-HENRY-
422 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009
...WINTRY PRECIPITATION MIX POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT
USHERING IN VERY COLD AIR FOR THIS LATE IN THE SEASON. THERE WILL
BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. IT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR THESE SHOWERS
TO BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH
GEORGIA...MAINLY FROM THE ATLANTA METROPOLITAN AREA TO ATHENS AND
NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN QUITE MILD RECENTLY AND THE
GROUND IS FAIRLY WARM...SO MOST AREAS SHOULD NOT SEE ANY
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OTHER THAN A DUSTING ON GRASSY
SURFACES. IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH GEORGIA MOUNTAINS
UP TO A HALF INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE.
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.
Freeze Next Week?
04/03/2009 19:46
Models are still showing the potential for a freeze both Monday and Tuesday night. So make sure you bring your plants back inside this weekend!
Squall Line
04/03/2009 00:56
Squall line quickly approaching the Atlanta area... After this passes the area, that should be it for severe weather. ETA is within the next 2 hours...
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0382
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CDT THU APR 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/EASTERN TN AND EASTERN AL INTO NORTH GA AND
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 115...
VALID 030450Z - 030615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 115
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 115 CONTINUES UNTIL 11Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
TN/NORTHERN GA INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC. FARTHER WEST...IT
SEEMS PRUDENT THAT TORNADO WATCH 112 WILL BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO THE
SCHEDULED 07Z EXPIRATION.
RISK OF PRIMARILY WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY SHIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN TN/NORTHERN GA INTO THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
NC/SC OVERNIGHT. EVEN WITH MEAGER INSTABILITY...STRONG DYNAMICAL
FORCING/KINEMATICS AHEAD OF A COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET
APPROACHING THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN A SEVERE
THREAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. LONG DURATION/RELATIVELY SMALL
SCALE BROKEN LINEAR SEGMENTS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY ADVANCE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN TN...LARGELY CONCENTRATED IN A
REGION OF MAXIMIZED SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS /-3MB PER 2HR/. THIS
INCLUDES A RECENT MEASURED 45 KT WIND GUST AT THE KNOXVILLE AIRPORT.
FARTHER SOUTH...PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE BAND OF LOW
TOPPED/NON-LIGHTNING PRODUCING STORMS...WITH HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE
ACROSS NORTHERN AL...WILL CONTINUE TO RACE ACROSS NORTH GA
OVERNIGHT...POSING A THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTIVELY
ENHANCED WIND GUSTS EVEN AMIDST LIMITED BUOYANCY.
Also expect the Severe T-Storm Watch to be canceled soon after the squall line passes. That said, it has been a VERY long week for me, so I'm signing off for the evening...
Oh yeah... freeze next week is a definite possibility... more on that tomorrow... Good nite!!!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0382
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CDT THU APR 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE/EASTERN TN AND EASTERN AL INTO NORTH GA AND
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 115...
VALID 030450Z - 030615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 115
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 115 CONTINUES UNTIL 11Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
TN/NORTHERN GA INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF NC/SC. FARTHER WEST...IT
SEEMS PRUDENT THAT TORNADO WATCH 112 WILL BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO THE
SCHEDULED 07Z EXPIRATION.
RISK OF PRIMARILY WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY SHIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN TN/NORTHERN GA INTO THE ADJACENT PORTIONS OF
NC/SC OVERNIGHT. EVEN WITH MEAGER INSTABILITY...STRONG DYNAMICAL
FORCING/KINEMATICS AHEAD OF A COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET
APPROACHING THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN A SEVERE
THREAT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. LONG DURATION/RELATIVELY SMALL
SCALE BROKEN LINEAR SEGMENTS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY ADVANCE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN TN...LARGELY CONCENTRATED IN A
REGION OF MAXIMIZED SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS /-3MB PER 2HR/. THIS
INCLUDES A RECENT MEASURED 45 KT WIND GUST AT THE KNOXVILLE AIRPORT.
FARTHER SOUTH...PREFRONTAL CONVERGENCE BAND OF LOW
TOPPED/NON-LIGHTNING PRODUCING STORMS...WITH HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE
ACROSS NORTHERN AL...WILL CONTINUE TO RACE ACROSS NORTH GA
OVERNIGHT...POSING A THREAT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTIVELY
ENHANCED WIND GUSTS EVEN AMIDST LIMITED BUOYANCY.
Also expect the Severe T-Storm Watch to be canceled soon after the squall line passes. That said, it has been a VERY long week for me, so I'm signing off for the evening...
Oh yeah... freeze next week is a definite possibility... more on that tomorrow... Good nite!!!
Today's Severe Threat
04/02/2009 08:42
Looks to be a busy day in the land of weather, especially to our south and west... However, we could have a few strong to severe storms here in the Atlanta area as well. Please keep your ear out for watches and warnings today.
Here are the latest outlooks from SPC:
Here are the latest outlooks from SPC:
Severe Tomorrow?
04/01/2009 20:29
SPC has outlined a sizable "moderate risk" area to our west and south:
Keep your eye on the weather situation tomorrow! More info in the morning...
Oh... and one more thing... cold next week? a freeze? the "S" word? hmmm....
Keep your eye on the weather situation tomorrow! More info in the morning...
Oh... and one more thing... cold next week? a freeze? the "S" word? hmmm....
Severe Wx Thursday?
03/31/2009 10:11
Rain Today - Severe Tomorrow
03/27/2009 10:05
Very rainy morning here in Atlanta... Expect the rain to continue for a couple more hours before tapering off this afternoon. However, more rain is on the way late tonight into tomorrow.
Here is the latest QPF (Quantitative Precipitation Forecast) from HPC:
Still some uncertainty about the severe potential for tomorrow. As of now, it looks like the area will be under the gun.
SPC has us under a "slight" risk for severe tomorow:
However... SPC has the probabilistic outlook at 45%:
That's fairly high, but uncertainty is keeping SPC from updating the risk beyond "slight".
Here is the latest QPF (Quantitative Precipitation Forecast) from HPC:
Still some uncertainty about the severe potential for tomorrow. As of now, it looks like the area will be under the gun.
SPC has us under a "slight" risk for severe tomorow:
However... SPC has the probabilistic outlook at 45%:
That's fairly high, but uncertainty is keeping SPC from updating the risk beyond "slight".
Update On Rain And Severe Wx...
03/26/2009 23:01
So... Where is all that rain that the QPF maps were showing? Well... part of it just hasn't gotten here yet... and convection along the gulf cut off some of the moisture.
Here is the latest QPF map from HPC:
You can see that the amounts up our way have decreased a little. However, 10+ inches down in the Panhandle!? Wow...
Still watching the potential for severe weather in the area for Saturday. More on that tomorrow...
Here is the latest QPF map from HPC:
You can see that the amounts up our way have decreased a little. However, 10+ inches down in the Panhandle!? Wow...
Still watching the potential for severe weather in the area for Saturday. More on that tomorrow...
Severe Weather?
03/26/2009 10:01
Looks like it was a rough night over to our west, and there is a tornado watch this morning to the south. But for the Atlanta area, don't expect any severe weather until tomorrow/Saturday...
Here are SPC's outlooks for the next couple of days:
We also still have a LOT of rain coming over the next couple of days. Here is the QPF outlook from HPC:
The rain is certainly good news for the drought situation. Stay safe!
Here are SPC's outlooks for the next couple of days:
We also still have a LOT of rain coming over the next couple of days. Here is the QPF outlook from HPC:
The rain is certainly good news for the drought situation. Stay safe!
Heavy Rain And Maybe Severe
03/23/2009 21:40
If you have anything you need to do outside, better get it done tomorrow afternoon. Rain looks to be the story for the remainder of the week.
HPC's QPF outlook for the next 5 days shows us getting 4+ inches of rain. Excellent news as we are still very much in a drought.
With this much needed rain also comes the possibility of severe weather. SPC has our area highlighted for this coming weekend.
Meanwhile, crazy weather on the plains... Severe weather giving way to a blizzard... Spring has definitely arrived! Fun times ahead!
HPC's QPF outlook for the next 5 days shows us getting 4+ inches of rain. Excellent news as we are still very much in a drought.
With this much needed rain also comes the possibility of severe weather. SPC has our area highlighted for this coming weekend.
Meanwhile, crazy weather on the plains... Severe weather giving way to a blizzard... Spring has definitely arrived! Fun times ahead!
Warm
03/10/2009 14:52
Very warm today with highs near 80 in most places.
***YUCK***
I can enjoy nice days in the late summer into fall, but not in the springtime. I hate watching the thermometer creep up every day with the knowledge that summer is but around the corner. September cannot get here soon enough!
The warmth will abate some in the coming days as more clouds and moisture overrun the area. This weekend doesn't look to be as nice as this past weekend. And certainly no where near as nice as the previous weekend (remember the SNOW?)! Right now, it looks like we will have cooler and rain on the increase for the rest of the week into the weekend.
***YUCK***
I can enjoy nice days in the late summer into fall, but not in the springtime. I hate watching the thermometer creep up every day with the knowledge that summer is but around the corner. September cannot get here soon enough!
The warmth will abate some in the coming days as more clouds and moisture overrun the area. This weekend doesn't look to be as nice as this past weekend. And certainly no where near as nice as the previous weekend (remember the SNOW?)! Right now, it looks like we will have cooler and rain on the increase for the rest of the week into the weekend.
Beautiful Weekend Ahead
03/04/2009 08:39
After I got my wish for SNOW and cold weather, I suppose it is only fair for those folks who like warm and boring to get their day in the sun. The rest of the week warms up each day into a dry and sunny weekend with temps in the mid 70's. Definitely beautiful weather that even I can get into. Now if I could just get past the fact that this means summer is on the way... YUCK!!!
Enjoy the nice weather!
Enjoy the nice weather!
Sadly, It Is Over...
03/01/2009 16:24
SNOW is quickly coming to an end from west to east. Rain has been mixing back in with the SNOW as the temp has climbed back up from 33 to 35 as we no longer have the dynamic cooling in place. Expect most of the SNOW to melt before temps go back down. The wind is also picking up and will help dry the roads before nightfall. Unfortunately, work and school are on for tomorrow. GRRRRRR... I'm sure there will be some slick spots though, so please be careful.
I hate seeing melting SNOW. It really is just a sad moment for me. But I am grateful for the SNOW while it lasted... and THUNDERSNOW!!! Just wow! I wouldn't call today epic, but it certainly was memorable.
Got some great pictures today. I will posted them either later tonite or sometime tomorrow.
I hate seeing melting SNOW. It really is just a sad moment for me. But I am grateful for the SNOW while it lasted... and THUNDERSNOW!!! Just wow! I wouldn't call today epic, but it certainly was memorable.
Got some great pictures today. I will posted them either later tonite or sometime tomorrow.
Winter Weather Advisory
02/28/2009 15:45
FFC put out a Winter Weather Advisory!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
341 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM TO BRING SNOW TO MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...
.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW
TO ALL SNOW AS THE COLD AIR ALOFT BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ON GRASSY
AND EXPOSED SURFACES.
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>075-078>084-
089>096-010445-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.090301T1500Z-090302T0500Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS
341 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ADVISORY AREA COVERS MUCH OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTH OF A LINE FROM CUSSETA TO PERRY TO
MILLEDGEVILLE TO WEST OF AUGUSTA.
LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT AS
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE STATE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...COLD AIR ALOFT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE STATE CAUSING THE RAIN TO MIX WITH AND EVENTUALLY
CHANGE TO SNOW.
THE STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CREATE A
SWATH OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA. AS THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THIS PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE A LAYER
OF ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE WHICH WILL CAUSE
SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING. GROUND
SURFACES WILL ALSO BE WARM DUE TO THE RECENT MILD TEMPERATURES AND
SHOULD MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAYS.
HOWEVER...IF A HEAVY BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPS IT COULD CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO FALL AND SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW TO
OCCUR ON ROADS.
PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS ON TELEVISION... RADIO...THE INTERNET OR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO. IF THE STORM SYSTEM OR COLD AIR INTENSIFIES
FURTHER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
341 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM TO BRING SNOW TO MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING...
.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA INTO SOUTHERN GEORGIA ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE FROM RAIN TO A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW
TO ALL SNOW AS THE COLD AIR ALOFT BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ON GRASSY
AND EXPOSED SURFACES.
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>075-078>084-
089>096-010445-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WW.Y.0003.090301T1500Z-090302T0500Z/
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINSON-
MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...
DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...
GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON...COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS
341 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST SUNDAY NIGHT. THE ADVISORY AREA COVERS MUCH OF NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA NORTH OF A LINE FROM CUSSETA TO PERRY TO
MILLEDGEVILLE TO WEST OF AUGUSTA.
LIGHT RAIN WILL MOVE INTO FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT AS
THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD THE STATE. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE AREA TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...COLD AIR ALOFT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE STATE CAUSING THE RAIN TO MIX WITH AND EVENTUALLY
CHANGE TO SNOW.
THE STRONG LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM WILL CREATE A
SWATH OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA. AS THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THIS PRECIPITATION
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR HEAVIER SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE A LAYER
OF ABOVE FREEZING TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE WHICH WILL CAUSE
SOME OF THE SNOW TO MELT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING. GROUND
SURFACES WILL ALSO BE WARM DUE TO THE RECENT MILD TEMPERATURES AND
SHOULD MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAYS.
HOWEVER...IF A HEAVY BAND OF SNOW DEVELOPS IT COULD CAUSE
TEMPERATURES TO FALL AND SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW TO
OCCUR ON ROADS.
PERSONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST
CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS ON TELEVISION... RADIO...THE INTERNET OR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO. IF THE STORM SYSTEM OR COLD AIR INTENSIFIES
FURTHER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE
AREA.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
SNOW
02/28/2009 11:57
Things are looking good right now for the Atlanta area. Of course this is all subject to change, but let's not think about that right now.
As of the time of this blog entry, I think the Atlanta area will see SNOW around daybreak Sunday morning. The SNOW could be heavy at times in some areas, but the ground is very warm and will limit accumulations. My ball park forecast for accumulations is 0.5-4 inches across the area. Heaviest SNOW band will be very narrow, so it is possible that some may see nothing while 10 miles away gets 4 inches.
Now, some eye candy!!
* * *
The NWS has put "SNOW Likely" in the forecast:
Sunday: Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. Windy, with a north wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow before 1am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 26. Northwest wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
* * *
HPC Snow Accumulation Probability Of At Least 4 Inches:
* * *
Special Weather Statement:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1000 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-010200-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-
WILKINSON-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-
MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-STEWART-WEBSTER-
SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-WHEELER-
MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS-
1000 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA SUNDAY...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH
GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...THEN EXIT OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST SUNDAY NIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA...BEGINNING AS LIGHT RAIN TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST
GEORGIA...AND THEN BECOMING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE TONIGHT OVER
WESTERN GEORGIA BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST. THE
COLDEST AIR ALOFT AND NEAR THE SURFACE APPEARS LIKELY TO SHIFT INTO
CENTRAL GEORGIA BEFORE PARTS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...CLOSER
TO THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW STORM SYSTEM.
THEREFORE...AREAS NEAR COLUMBUS AND AMERICUS COULD SEE A SWITCH TO
SNOW BEFORE AREAS NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF ATLANTA.
UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS CONCERNING ACCUMULATIONS. WITH THE GROUND
STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND THE SNOW MELTING AS IT FALLS INTO THE
WARMER AIR NEAR THE GROUND...ANY SNOW THAT FALLS INITIALLY SHOULD
MELT. TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID AND
UPPER 30S OVER MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA AND IN THE LOW 40S OVER AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST OF MACON. HOWEVER...AS THE COLDER AIR PRESSES EAST
AND SOUTH DURING THE DAY...BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW COULD RESULT IN
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A CORDELE TO LOUISVILLE LINE COULD SEE
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH BY SUNDAY EVENING. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE CONFINED TO GRASSY AND ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES
SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. HOWEVER...IF PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW
OCCUR...ISOLATED ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD FALL ON
ROADWAYS. AREAS SOUTH OF THE CORDELE TO LOUISVILLE LINE WILL SEE
LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE UPPER
30S.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE TELEVISION
OR RADIO STATION...FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS OR
ADVISORIES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.
* * *
The Weather Channel:
Let's hope it all pans out! Heck, let's hope it's epic and we get hammered!!!
As of the time of this blog entry, I think the Atlanta area will see SNOW around daybreak Sunday morning. The SNOW could be heavy at times in some areas, but the ground is very warm and will limit accumulations. My ball park forecast for accumulations is 0.5-4 inches across the area. Heaviest SNOW band will be very narrow, so it is possible that some may see nothing while 10 miles away gets 4 inches.
Now, some eye candy!!
* * *
The NWS has put "SNOW Likely" in the forecast:
Sunday: Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. Windy, with a north wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow before 1am. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 26. Northwest wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
* * *
HPC Snow Accumulation Probability Of At Least 4 Inches:
* * *
Special Weather Statement:
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1000 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-010200-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-
MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-
GLASCOCK-JEFFERSON-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-
WILKINSON-JOHNSON-EMANUEL-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-
MACON-PEACH-HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-LAURENS-TREUTLEN-STEWART-WEBSTER-
SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI-WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR-WHEELER-
MONTGOMERY-TOOMBS-
1000 AM EST SAT FEB 28 2009
...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA SUNDAY...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH
GEORGIA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...THEN EXIT OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST SUNDAY NIGHT.
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA...BEGINNING AS LIGHT RAIN TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST
GEORGIA...AND THEN BECOMING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE TONIGHT OVER
WESTERN GEORGIA BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST. THE
COLDEST AIR ALOFT AND NEAR THE SURFACE APPEARS LIKELY TO SHIFT INTO
CENTRAL GEORGIA BEFORE PARTS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...CLOSER
TO THE TRACK OF THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW STORM SYSTEM.
THEREFORE...AREAS NEAR COLUMBUS AND AMERICUS COULD SEE A SWITCH TO
SNOW BEFORE AREAS NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF ATLANTA.
UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS CONCERNING ACCUMULATIONS. WITH THE GROUND
STILL RELATIVELY WARM AND THE SNOW MELTING AS IT FALLS INTO THE
WARMER AIR NEAR THE GROUND...ANY SNOW THAT FALLS INITIALLY SHOULD
MELT. TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID AND
UPPER 30S OVER MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA AND IN THE LOW 40S OVER AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST OF MACON. HOWEVER...AS THE COLDER AIR PRESSES EAST
AND SOUTH DURING THE DAY...BANDS OF MODERATE SNOW COULD RESULT IN
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.
AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF A CORDELE TO LOUISVILLE LINE COULD SEE
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH BY SUNDAY EVENING. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE CONFINED TO GRASSY AND ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES
SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. HOWEVER...IF PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW
OCCUR...ISOLATED ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD FALL ON
ROADWAYS. AREAS SOUTH OF THE CORDELE TO LOUISVILLE LINE WILL SEE
LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE UPPER
30S.
PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE TELEVISION
OR RADIO STATION...FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS OR
ADVISORIES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER SITUATION.
* * *
The Weather Channel:
Let's hope it all pans out! Heck, let's hope it's epic and we get hammered!!!
Nail Biting Begins
02/27/2009 23:27
Models are all over the place with the potential SNOW storm. Thankfully, we will soon be out of the "model madness" and into "nowcasting". Things should be a bit more clear in the morning. Well, as clear as they can be with an ULL.
Stay sane!
Stay sane!
SNOW Now In NWS Forecast For Atlanta
02/27/2009 14:13
FFC has now put SNOW in the forecast grids for the Atlanta area:
Saturday Night: A chance of rain before 1am, then rain and snow likely. Some thunder is also possible. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday: A chance of rain and snow before 11am, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Windy, with a north wind between 20 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
* * *
Of course there is no mention of accumulations yet (I'm betting they won't until tomorrow - *if* there is actually still the chance of accumulations). Sunday's forecast says back to all rain, but that too remains to be seen.
Latest model runs are still good for the Atlanta area (in that we aren't out of the running). This could be epic, major disappointment, or mildly amusing. Nothing is off the table yet.
Keep hope alive!
Saturday Night: A chance of rain before 1am, then rain and snow likely. Some thunder is also possible. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday: A chance of rain and snow before 11am, then a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. Windy, with a north wind between 20 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
* * *
Of course there is no mention of accumulations yet (I'm betting they won't until tomorrow - *if* there is actually still the chance of accumulations). Sunday's forecast says back to all rain, but that too remains to be seen.
Latest model runs are still good for the Atlanta area (in that we aren't out of the running). This could be epic, major disappointment, or mildly amusing. Nothing is off the table yet.
Keep hope alive!
Backing Off Severe Threat
02/27/2009 10:00
The threat for severe weather doesn't look as great today as it was looking yesterday. SPC no longer has the Atlanta area at a "threat level" today. Still has a "slight risk" for tomorrow (though I think that will be dropped at some point).
The main threat today into tonight will be heavy rain and maybe a few strong thunderstorms. However, keep an eye on the weather today in case things change.
The main threat today into tonight will be heavy rain and maybe a few strong thunderstorms. However, keep an eye on the weather today in case things change.
So... Is It Going To SNOW?!?
02/27/2009 08:57
There is the potential for very heavy rains and severe storms over the next 24 hours. But the really big question is "Is it going to SNOW"?!?
Unfortunately, the answer isn't clear. But as of RIGHT NOW, I think it will. How Much? I think 2-6 inches is not out of the question. However, the ground is very warm and temps will be near or above freezing. So I don't believe we'll see that much SNOW actually "stick".
Of course all of this could change by this evening. Knowing our recent luck, the odds are good it will change to someone else getting SNOW and Atlanta gets nothing. Although things could change in our favour and we get half a foot or more. We really won't know for sure until it happens, but dreaming of the threat is half the fun! So for now, life is good!
Just as a tease, here is a graphic generated by the 6z run of the NAM... shows roughly 8 inches for Atlanta (but don't count on it):
Keep hope alive! Pray, meditate, flush ice cubes down the toilet. Do whatever. LET IT SNOW!!!
Unfortunately, the answer isn't clear. But as of RIGHT NOW, I think it will. How Much? I think 2-6 inches is not out of the question. However, the ground is very warm and temps will be near or above freezing. So I don't believe we'll see that much SNOW actually "stick".
Of course all of this could change by this evening. Knowing our recent luck, the odds are good it will change to someone else getting SNOW and Atlanta gets nothing. Although things could change in our favour and we get half a foot or more. We really won't know for sure until it happens, but dreaming of the threat is half the fun! So for now, life is good!
Just as a tease, here is a graphic generated by the 6z run of the NAM... shows roughly 8 inches for Atlanta (but don't count on it):
Keep hope alive! Pray, meditate, flush ice cubes down the toilet. Do whatever. LET IT SNOW!!!
Heavy Rain & Severe Storms
02/26/2009 23:17
Heavy rain and the potential for severe storms will be the story over the next 36 hours. Severe storms are already showing up in AK, TN, and MS.
HPC shows nearly 5 inches of liquid precip for the Atlanta area over the next 5 days. Most of that falling tomorrow into Saturday.
Of course the other big story is the potential Southeastern SNOW storm. Models still show a storm, but as expected, each run shows a different area getting slammed. I'd say anyone from the Mississippi River to the East Coast has a shot. We'll (hopefully) narrow things down a little better tomorrow. Keep hope alive!!!
HPC shows nearly 5 inches of liquid precip for the Atlanta area over the next 5 days. Most of that falling tomorrow into Saturday.
Of course the other big story is the potential Southeastern SNOW storm. Models still show a storm, but as expected, each run shows a different area getting slammed. I'd say anyone from the Mississippi River to the East Coast has a shot. We'll (hopefully) narrow things down a little better tomorrow. Keep hope alive!!!
Update: 12z NAM & GFS Still Good
02/26/2009 11:56
12z runs of both NAM and GFS still show a SNOW storm. Too early to get into specifics, but as of now, someone looks to be getting a good dumping in the SE. Let's just hope that includes Atlanta!!!
Cautiously Optimistic
02/26/2009 09:30
Ok... The upcoming possibility is very complicated. It involves a cold-core upper level low. So the forecast will be very tricky even up to the event itself (if it even happens).
Here is a snippet of what the GFS is showing as of the 6z run:
Here is a snippet of what the NAM is showing as of the 6z run:
So you can see, the GFS and NAM are pretty close in agreement on the placement of the ULL. If things unfold anywhere close to this, someone in the deep south is going to get a good SNOW. Even more interesting, this critter takes its time moving out! But remember, this is still days off. There is plenty of time for it to disappear a la Groundhogzilla...
Let's hope the 12z runs continue the show!
Here is a snippet of what the GFS is showing as of the 6z run:
Here is a snippet of what the NAM is showing as of the 6z run:
So you can see, the GFS and NAM are pretty close in agreement on the placement of the ULL. If things unfold anywhere close to this, someone in the deep south is going to get a good SNOW. Even more interesting, this critter takes its time moving out! But remember, this is still days off. There is plenty of time for it to disappear a la Groundhogzilla...
Let's hope the 12z runs continue the show!
Severe Weather Potential
02/26/2009 08:43
Lots of interesting weather potential over the next few days into the weekend.
First up, the severe weather threat. SPC has put out a "slight risk" that includes the Atlanta for both Friday AND Saturday:
It's that time of the year, so naturally the ingredients are there for severe weather. We will have fairly good winds aloft with high shear/helicity values. The only limiting factor may be instability. This definitely needs to be watched.
As for the other interesting weather possibility... Stay tuned for the next post...
First up, the severe weather threat. SPC has put out a "slight risk" that includes the Atlanta for both Friday AND Saturday:
Friday Severe Threat
Saturday Severe Threat
It's that time of the year, so naturally the ingredients are there for severe weather. We will have fairly good winds aloft with high shear/helicity values. The only limiting factor may be instability. This definitely needs to be watched.
As for the other interesting weather possibility... Stay tuned for the next post...
Miracle Or Despair
02/26/2009 00:38
More interesting model runs for this weekend...
Will there be a miracle? Or will there be utter despair? I'm going to bed now and hope for the best. More in the morning...
Will there be a miracle? Or will there be utter despair? I'm going to bed now and hope for the best. More in the morning...
Slight Risk Friday?
02/25/2009 11:40
SPC has placed the NW part of Georgia in a "slight risk" for Friday. This includes the NW part of the metro Atlanta area.
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 AM CST WED FEB 25 2009
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS MID-SOUTH TO SRN
APPALACHIANS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN FCST TO EVOLVE FROM NEARLY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN TO
BROADLY CYCLONIC OVER ERN 2/3 CONUS...AS SERIES OF NRN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CONTRIBUTES TO HEIGHT FALLS FROM CENTRAL/NRN
ROCKIES TO MID/UPPER MS VALLEY. STRONGEST OF THESE PERTURBATIONS --
NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY FROM COASTAL BC OVER CENTRAL
BC -- SHOULD PIVOT SLOWLY SWD THEN EWD AS CLOSED LOW...ACROSS
PACIFIC NW DAYS 1-2. THIS FEATURE THEN SHOULD ACCELERATE ESEWD
ACROSS PORTIONS NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS DAY-3...WHEREUPON CONSIDERABLE
SPREAD BEGINS TO APPEAR IN GUIDANCE REGARDING AMPLITUDE OF SYSTEM.
DOWNSTREAM/WEAKER TROUGH...NOW EVIDENT OFFSHORE NRN CA -- IS FCST TO
PHASE WITH NRN STREAM PERTURBATION THROUGH DAY-2. THIS FEATURE THEN
SHOULD MOVE FROM VICINITY LM EWD TO INLAND PORTIONS MID-ATLANTIC
STATES THIS PERIOD...ATTAINING MORE POSITIVE TILT WITH TIME.
ASSOCIATED SFC CYCLONE SHOULD EJECT FROM SRN ONT POSITION AROUND
27/12Z EWD TO ENEWD TOWARD NRN NEW ENGLAND AND LOWER ST LAWRENCE
RIVER AREA BY 28/12Z. ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE SEWD INTO
CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS EARLY IN PERIOD. TRAILING SEGMENT OF FRONT
SHOULD STALL ACROSS TN VALLEY REGION...PERHAPS WITH WEAK/ATTACHED
CYCLOGENESIS IN ADVANCE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH APCHG FROM CENTRAL/NRN
PLAINS. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY LINGERS REGARDING POSITIONING OF
FRONT AND STRENGTH/LOCATION OF WAVE LOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THIS
REGION.
...MID-SOUTH TO SRN APPALACHIANS...
PRIOR/OVERNIGHT CONVECTION DISCUSSED IN DAY-2 OUTLOOK SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS PERIOD ALONG/AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT. LOW
LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENTLY
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND LOW LEVEL THETAE TO SUPPORT POSSIBLE
EARLY-PERIOD MCS MOVING EWD OR ESEWD ACROSS REGION. FCST DEEP-LAYER
WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR ELEVATED
PARCELS AND POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SVR THREAT...WITH HAIL AND
PERHAPS WIND DEPENDING ON DEPTH OF NEAR-SFC STABLE AIR.
DURING DAY...INTENSIFICATION OF MORNING ACTIVITY AND/OR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG ITS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS POSSIBLE...WITH SFC-BASED
SVR POSSIBLE. RESIDUAL/ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
CONSIDERABLE SBCINH DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL...WITH FCST SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTING SHARP SRN CUT-OFF TO CONVECTION. SFC HEATING IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN CAPPING ALONG SRN RIM OF CLOUD/PRECIP AREA. STRENGTH AND
LOCATION OF MAX LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL DEPEND ON AFOREMENTIONED
CYCLOGENESIS AS WELL AS MESOSCALE PROCESSES ALONG FRONT AND/OR
BOUNDARIES FROM OUTFLOW AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING. HOWEVER...MOST
PROGS REASONABLY INDICATE SUFFICIENT CONCENTRATION OF CONVECTION
OVER THIS REGION...AMIDST FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...TO SUPPORT
SVR OUTLOOK.
SOME BACKBUILDING MAY OCCUR ALONG FRONT...ACROSS PORTIONS
AR/LA...LATER IN PERIOD...HOWEVER SVR POTENTIAL IS TOO CONDITIONAL
FOR CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK ATTM.
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 AM CST WED FEB 25 2009
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS MID-SOUTH TO SRN
APPALACHIANS...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN FCST TO EVOLVE FROM NEARLY ZONAL FLOW PATTERN TO
BROADLY CYCLONIC OVER ERN 2/3 CONUS...AS SERIES OF NRN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CONTRIBUTES TO HEIGHT FALLS FROM CENTRAL/NRN
ROCKIES TO MID/UPPER MS VALLEY. STRONGEST OF THESE PERTURBATIONS --
NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY FROM COASTAL BC OVER CENTRAL
BC -- SHOULD PIVOT SLOWLY SWD THEN EWD AS CLOSED LOW...ACROSS
PACIFIC NW DAYS 1-2. THIS FEATURE THEN SHOULD ACCELERATE ESEWD
ACROSS PORTIONS NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS DAY-3...WHEREUPON CONSIDERABLE
SPREAD BEGINS TO APPEAR IN GUIDANCE REGARDING AMPLITUDE OF SYSTEM.
DOWNSTREAM/WEAKER TROUGH...NOW EVIDENT OFFSHORE NRN CA -- IS FCST TO
PHASE WITH NRN STREAM PERTURBATION THROUGH DAY-2. THIS FEATURE THEN
SHOULD MOVE FROM VICINITY LM EWD TO INLAND PORTIONS MID-ATLANTIC
STATES THIS PERIOD...ATTAINING MORE POSITIVE TILT WITH TIME.
ASSOCIATED SFC CYCLONE SHOULD EJECT FROM SRN ONT POSITION AROUND
27/12Z EWD TO ENEWD TOWARD NRN NEW ENGLAND AND LOWER ST LAWRENCE
RIVER AREA BY 28/12Z. ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE SEWD INTO
CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS EARLY IN PERIOD. TRAILING SEGMENT OF FRONT
SHOULD STALL ACROSS TN VALLEY REGION...PERHAPS WITH WEAK/ATTACHED
CYCLOGENESIS IN ADVANCE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH APCHG FROM CENTRAL/NRN
PLAINS. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY LINGERS REGARDING POSITIONING OF
FRONT AND STRENGTH/LOCATION OF WAVE LOW DEVELOPMENT OVER THIS
REGION.
...MID-SOUTH TO SRN APPALACHIANS...
PRIOR/OVERNIGHT CONVECTION DISCUSSED IN DAY-2 OUTLOOK SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS PERIOD ALONG/AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT. LOW
LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENTLY
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND LOW LEVEL THETAE TO SUPPORT POSSIBLE
EARLY-PERIOD MCS MOVING EWD OR ESEWD ACROSS REGION. FCST DEEP-LAYER
WIND PROFILES WILL SUPPORT 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR ELEVATED
PARCELS AND POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SVR THREAT...WITH HAIL AND
PERHAPS WIND DEPENDING ON DEPTH OF NEAR-SFC STABLE AIR.
DURING DAY...INTENSIFICATION OF MORNING ACTIVITY AND/OR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG ITS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS POSSIBLE...WITH SFC-BASED
SVR POSSIBLE. RESIDUAL/ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
CONSIDERABLE SBCINH DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL...WITH FCST SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTING SHARP SRN CUT-OFF TO CONVECTION. SFC HEATING IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN CAPPING ALONG SRN RIM OF CLOUD/PRECIP AREA. STRENGTH AND
LOCATION OF MAX LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL DEPEND ON AFOREMENTIONED
CYCLOGENESIS AS WELL AS MESOSCALE PROCESSES ALONG FRONT AND/OR
BOUNDARIES FROM OUTFLOW AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING. HOWEVER...MOST
PROGS REASONABLY INDICATE SUFFICIENT CONCENTRATION OF CONVECTION
OVER THIS REGION...AMIDST FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR...TO SUPPORT
SVR OUTLOOK.
SOME BACKBUILDING MAY OCCUR ALONG FRONT...ACROSS PORTIONS
AR/LA...LATER IN PERIOD...HOWEVER SVR POTENTIAL IS TOO CONDITIONAL
FOR CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK ATTM.
This Weekend
02/25/2009 08:18
Looks like we might get some beneficial rain in here on Friday and Saturday. Rain totals aren’t looking quite as high as they did yesterday. However, still shows generally an inch or so for the Atlanta area.
There have been whispers of wintery precip over the past day or two. The Euro did briefly show a fantasy SNOW storm, but of course it went away. Everyone knows it doesn’t SNOW here in the Southeast anymore.
There have been whispers of wintery precip over the past day or two. The Euro did briefly show a fantasy SNOW storm, but of course it went away. Everyone knows it doesn’t SNOW here in the Southeast anymore.
Mostly Boring
02/23/2009 09:33
A Severe Boring Warning is in effect for the Atlanta area. Boring conditions are expected in our area for most of the week. The soonest we can expect the boring to lift is Thursday night. Meanwhile, nap time!
ZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz...
ZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz...
The "S" Word?
02/21/2009 16:23
Yes. There is SNOW in the forecast this evening. Too bad it will be a non-event. There is indeed a chance that we might see a brief period of SNOW, but it won’t be heavy or last very long.
A brief dusting for the northern parts of Atlanta at the very best. Reality is more like a brief tease that gets you excited with a quick slap in the face as you see the sky quickly clearing.
Winter 2009 has just been an evil, cruel b!tch. It has only made me bitter and grumpy. It will not be missed! Only 283 days (roughly) until I MIGHT have hope again.
A brief dusting for the northern parts of Atlanta at the very best. Reality is more like a brief tease that gets you excited with a quick slap in the face as you see the sky quickly clearing.
Winter 2009 has just been an evil, cruel b!tch. It has only made me bitter and grumpy. It will not be missed! Only 283 days (roughly) until I MIGHT have hope again.
Cold Returns
02/19/2009 08:06
The cold returns for the next couple of days. Though it will be a mostly useless cold. I haven’t really talked about it, but the models were showing a possibility of SNOW for this weekend. Of course those possibilities have now gone the way that every other &*%^$@ possibility has this lame winter 2009. Rinse, Repeat. Die La Nina, you stupid b&$^&%, die.
Severe Storms Today. Weekend Buzz?
02/18/2009 08:02
It was fairly chilly when I walked outside to check my rain gauge. Quick glance at the thermometer showed 47. Doesn’t feel like severe weather outside at the moment.
But don’t let the cool morning fool you! Warmer temps and higher dew-points are on the way. A lot of shear and helicity are already in place upstairs. The stage is set for the possibility of severe weather later today.
SPC has put us in a slight risk (with moderate next door and to our south):
I don’t think today will be a big event for the Atlanta area. By that I mean it won’t be an “outbreak”. Can’t rule out an isolated tornado, but the main threat will be severe thunderstorms with the usual damaging winds, hail, and lightning.
Keep your eye on the weather today!
Meanwhile... Folks are buzzing about this weekend. After having my hopes dashed earlier this month (and all winter), I’m not getting excited about anything yet. If the buzz is still around tomorrow, then I might discuss it further.
But don’t let the cool morning fool you! Warmer temps and higher dew-points are on the way. A lot of shear and helicity are already in place upstairs. The stage is set for the possibility of severe weather later today.
SPC has put us in a slight risk (with moderate next door and to our south):
I don’t think today will be a big event for the Atlanta area. By that I mean it won’t be an “outbreak”. Can’t rule out an isolated tornado, but the main threat will be severe thunderstorms with the usual damaging winds, hail, and lightning.
Keep your eye on the weather today!
Meanwhile... Folks are buzzing about this weekend. After having my hopes dashed earlier this month (and all winter), I’m not getting excited about anything yet. If the buzz is still around tomorrow, then I might discuss it further.
Severe Storms Tomorrow?
02/17/2009 09:11
Watching out for the possibility of severe storms tomorrow. SPC has put out a “slight risk” for tomorrow.
So It Begins...
02/11/2009 08:16
The severe weather season is here. A number of folks lost their lives in Oklahoma yesterday.
Please take severe weather SERIOUSLY.
Fortunately, it looks like the current outbreak was limited to yesterday and will not repeat itself today in the Atlanta area. We will see some storms later today, most likely in the form of a squall line. My current guess is that it will be here around rush hour this evening. The biggest threat from this squall line will be brief heavy rain and high winds.
Keep an eye on the radar later today. You should be able to pick out the squall line as it comes in from the west. Click the radar below to see the latest “live” version.
Please take severe weather SERIOUSLY.
Fortunately, it looks like the current outbreak was limited to yesterday and will not repeat itself today in the Atlanta area. We will see some storms later today, most likely in the form of a squall line. My current guess is that it will be here around rush hour this evening. The biggest threat from this squall line will be brief heavy rain and high winds.
Keep an eye on the radar later today. You should be able to pick out the squall line as it comes in from the west. Click the radar below to see the latest “live” version.
Severe Weather Tomorrow?
02/10/2009 11:56
The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) has issued a “slight” risk of severe weather for a broad area across the Southeast and Ohio Valley.
As of now, it looks like the main threat for us in the Atlanta area will be wind. The threat for tornados should be fairly low.
However, please pay attention to the weather situation tomorrow in case severe weather develops for our area.
P.S. - How about your weather radio? Have one? Have backup batteries? Have it programmed for your area?
As of now, it looks like the main threat for us in the Atlanta area will be wind. The threat for tornados should be fairly low.
However, please pay attention to the weather situation tomorrow in case severe weather develops for our area.
P.S. - How about your weather radio? Have one? Have backup batteries? Have it programmed for your area?
Spring Has Sprung
02/06/2009 09:46
Winter is over... for now...
A major pattern shift is underway (and not the kind I like), with spring-like conditions arriving this weekend. The warmth may be interrupted briefly if “the wedge” sets up early next week, but otherwise we are stuck with above normal warmth for a while.
With the warm temps comes the potential for severe weather next week, however most of it should stay west and north of Atlanta. (But take the time NOW to think about severe weather and make sure you are prepared for the coming season!)
Enjoy this period of warmth while you can! Signs still point to winter coming back with a vengeance around Valentine’s Day. I’ll elaborate further as we get closer to the shift back to winter (which can’t come soon enough!).
Enjoy the weekend!!!
A major pattern shift is underway (and not the kind I like), with spring-like conditions arriving this weekend. The warmth may be interrupted briefly if “the wedge” sets up early next week, but otherwise we are stuck with above normal warmth for a while.
With the warm temps comes the potential for severe weather next week, however most of it should stay west and north of Atlanta. (But take the time NOW to think about severe weather and make sure you are prepared for the coming season!)
Enjoy this period of warmth while you can! Signs still point to winter coming back with a vengeance around Valentine’s Day. I’ll elaborate further as we get closer to the shift back to winter (which can’t come soon enough!).
Enjoy the weekend!!!
Cold, Dry, Warm, Boring...
02/04/2009 08:56
It was very cold this morning in Midtown Atlanta. Temperature bottomed out at 17, with another cold one expected tonight. However, we warm up nicely as we go into the end of the week. Even though I hate spring and summer, I must admit I am looking forward to a cool and beautifully weekend. With temps in the low to mid 60’s and sunny, it could only be better if it were 26 with heavy SNOW.
Speaking of SNOW... Doesn’t look like we have a shot at seeing any wintery fun anytime soon. The “buzz” continues that we might enter a more favorable pattern after Valentine’s Day. I’m not too optimistic, and I’m slowly coming to accept that my favorite time of year is quickly coming to a close. Soon we will be talking about severe weather threats, and I’ll begin the long countdown to Football and Fall.
Speaking of SNOW... Doesn’t look like we have a shot at seeing any wintery fun anytime soon. The “buzz” continues that we might enter a more favorable pattern after Valentine’s Day. I’m not too optimistic, and I’m slowly coming to accept that my favorite time of year is quickly coming to a close. Soon we will be talking about severe weather threats, and I’ll begin the long countdown to Football and Fall.
Bye Bye January
01/31/2009 09:27
Today is the last day of January 2009. A memorable January, this has not been. As we banish this wasted January off to the annals of boredom, I pray that February offers some redemption for winter 2009.
Unfortunately, the first days of February don’t really offer us much.
The “storm” that has been the buzz for most of the past week has all but fallen off most model runs (at least for us anyhow). The pieces are still there, but they just don’t come together as the models so evilly teased us with earlier. Moisture is limited in most recent runs, and we will be lucky to even see much in the way of rain.
There are some hints that we could see a passing Flurry or four late Monday into Tuesday and Wednesday. It wouldn’t surprise me if we actually saw a brief dusting in some places. However, the chances of an actual widespread Atlanta SNOW storm are pretty much off the table now. Of course if anything changes, you know I’ll post it right away. Miracles do happen but don’t bet on one.
After the non-event for early this week, February looks to continue the same old story of little in the way of wintery fun. The only glimmer of hope is that the models continue to be all over the place (i.e. anything is possible), and there is still a slightly negative NAO (see picture below). February still has potential to offer something exciting, but my expectations are low.
Unfortunately, the first days of February don’t really offer us much.
The “storm” that has been the buzz for most of the past week has all but fallen off most model runs (at least for us anyhow). The pieces are still there, but they just don’t come together as the models so evilly teased us with earlier. Moisture is limited in most recent runs, and we will be lucky to even see much in the way of rain.
There are some hints that we could see a passing Flurry or four late Monday into Tuesday and Wednesday. It wouldn’t surprise me if we actually saw a brief dusting in some places. However, the chances of an actual widespread Atlanta SNOW storm are pretty much off the table now. Of course if anything changes, you know I’ll post it right away. Miracles do happen but don’t bet on one.
After the non-event for early this week, February looks to continue the same old story of little in the way of wintery fun. The only glimmer of hope is that the models continue to be all over the place (i.e. anything is possible), and there is still a slightly negative NAO (see picture below). February still has potential to offer something exciting, but my expectations are low.
Frustration & Disappointment...
01/30/2009 17:08
*** SIGH ***
You know... I don’t ask for much... Just some SNOW for Atlanta...
Seriously, what the #$@* gives?!? The last couple of days, the model runs look promising. Not much changed until today. Now they have mostly gone to giving us nothing.
At least I never preached that it was going to be the Blizzard of ’93 all over again. Unless this thing comes back, accuweather is going to look like a bunch of fools (ok, some say this happened long ago)...
Meanwhile, here is the bad news from FFC:
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BOTH GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SPIN UP A SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF REGION BY MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TRACKING THE SURFACE LOW OVER FLORIDA AND UP THE EAST COAST
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS ON
MONDAY ALL ZONES. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A LARGE DRY
SLOT SLIPPING IN BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL GREATLY
HINDER THE SNOW THREAT FOR MONDAY NIGHT. BASICALLY DRY AIR PUSHES
UP FROM THE SW AS THE COLD TEMPERATURES ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING. STILL
EXPECT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW OVER NORTH GA WHERE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
OF ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION FURTHER SOUTH HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED
WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. THEREFORE...HAVE TWEAKED POPS BACK TO
CHANCE ALL AREAS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... AND ONLY MENTION RAIN OR SNOW
FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A NEWNAN TO MADISON TO WASHINGTON
LINE. HAVE ADDED MENTION OF SNOW FLURRIES TO THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS
AGAIN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
SWING DOWN FROM THE NORTH WITH VERY COLD AIR IN PLACE.
AT THIS TIME...WITH MODEL TRENDS BACKING AWAY FROM ANY SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... HAVE DECIDED NOT TO DO A
WEB BRIEF FOR EM`S THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...EM`S AND RESIDENTS OF
CONCERN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST DISCUSSIONS
AND ANY SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS THAT MAY BE ISSUED IN REFERENCE
TO THE SNOW THREAT MONDAY NIGHT. IF THE SITUATION CHANGES FOR THE
WORSE...A WEB BRIEFING WILL BE SCHEDULED FOR EM`S NO LATER THAN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
You know... I don’t ask for much... Just some SNOW for Atlanta...
Seriously, what the #$@* gives?!? The last couple of days, the model runs look promising. Not much changed until today. Now they have mostly gone to giving us nothing.
At least I never preached that it was going to be the Blizzard of ’93 all over again. Unless this thing comes back, accuweather is going to look like a bunch of fools (ok, some say this happened long ago)...
Meanwhile, here is the bad news from FFC:
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BOTH GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SPIN UP A SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF REGION BY MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TRACKING THE SURFACE LOW OVER FLORIDA AND UP THE EAST COAST
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS ON
MONDAY ALL ZONES. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A LARGE DRY
SLOT SLIPPING IN BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL GREATLY
HINDER THE SNOW THREAT FOR MONDAY NIGHT. BASICALLY DRY AIR PUSHES
UP FROM THE SW AS THE COLD TEMPERATURES ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING. STILL
EXPECT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW OVER NORTH GA WHERE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
OF ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION FURTHER SOUTH HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED
WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. THEREFORE...HAVE TWEAKED POPS BACK TO
CHANCE ALL AREAS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... AND ONLY MENTION RAIN OR SNOW
FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A NEWNAN TO MADISON TO WASHINGTON
LINE. HAVE ADDED MENTION OF SNOW FLURRIES TO THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS
AGAIN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
SWING DOWN FROM THE NORTH WITH VERY COLD AIR IN PLACE.
AT THIS TIME...WITH MODEL TRENDS BACKING AWAY FROM ANY SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... HAVE DECIDED NOT TO DO A
WEB BRIEF FOR EM`S THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...EM`S AND RESIDENTS OF
CONCERN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST DISCUSSIONS
AND ANY SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS THAT MAY BE ISSUED IN REFERENCE
TO THE SNOW THREAT MONDAY NIGHT. IF THE SITUATION CHANGES FOR THE
WORSE...A WEB BRIEFING WILL BE SCHEDULED FOR EM`S NO LATER THAN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
Not Much Has Changed
01/30/2009 09:31
Not much has changed since yesterday. The models continue to drift here and there, but they still show the storm.
The hype for this thing continues to an almost ridiculous level - especially over on accuweather.com. They are calling it the “Groundhog Day Monster Storm” and have mentioned the March 1993 Blizzard in comparison. I don’t think this will be that epic, but I do think some are going to get slammed by some heavy SNOW. No one knows where just yet, but TN is looking pretty right now.
As of now, I still stick by the forecast I made yesterday. However, I have added a timeframe: Atlanta will see rain starting late Sunday night. The rain will continue through the day on Monday with a brief change over to light SNOW after 6-8pm. The light SNOW will taper off to flurries after midnight. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch. (Of course, you know I’m praying that Atlanta gets a foot of SNOW!)
The hype for this thing continues to an almost ridiculous level - especially over on accuweather.com. They are calling it the “Groundhog Day Monster Storm” and have mentioned the March 1993 Blizzard in comparison. I don’t think this will be that epic, but I do think some are going to get slammed by some heavy SNOW. No one knows where just yet, but TN is looking pretty right now.
As of now, I still stick by the forecast I made yesterday. However, I have added a timeframe: Atlanta will see rain starting late Sunday night. The rain will continue through the day on Monday with a brief change over to light SNOW after 6-8pm. The light SNOW will taper off to flurries after midnight. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch. (Of course, you know I’m praying that Atlanta gets a foot of SNOW!)
Nail Biting Begins
01/29/2009 11:29
The models continue to show a very borderline setup for an Atlanta SNOW Storm this Monday (into Monday night). Unfortunately, we are on the wrong side of that border at this time.
As of now, it looks like the surface low that forms in the Gulf of Mexico is tracking a little too far north. The low then curves to the north-east a little too soon. This puts Atlanta into the forecast that has made my skin crawl since I was a child: “A cold rain”.
But... There is still some hope. The system could track a little more to the south and then curve to the north-east a little later. Or the system could deepen and pull in more cold air. Neither of these scenarios look likely, but they aren’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
If I had to make an “unbiased” forecast right now, this would be it: Atlanta sees mostly rain with a brief change over to light SNOW. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch.
As of now, it looks like the surface low that forms in the Gulf of Mexico is tracking a little too far north. The low then curves to the north-east a little too soon. This puts Atlanta into the forecast that has made my skin crawl since I was a child: “A cold rain”.
But... There is still some hope. The system could track a little more to the south and then curve to the north-east a little later. Or the system could deepen and pull in more cold air. Neither of these scenarios look likely, but they aren’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
If I had to make an “unbiased” forecast right now, this would be it: Atlanta sees mostly rain with a brief change over to light SNOW. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch.
Early Next Week?
01/28/2009 11:09
We’ve had a couple of model runs that agree with an “interesting” event Monday and Tuesday of next week. Even better, there is some agreement on a series of events. If we miss out on one, there is a chance for another soon after.
I’ll post some more specific details on this threat tomorrow morning (if it continues to show).
I’ll post some more specific details on this threat tomorrow morning (if it continues to show).
Boredom Over?
01/25/2009 12:36
Wow... Funny how quickly things can change in the land of Weather!
I was beginning to believe January would fade with nothing more than a mere “Trace” of SNOW. However, the GFS suddenly put SNOW on the table for the end of the week. Not just a dusting, but 6in+!!!
Of course, my elation has been quickly extinguished by the 12z GFS run. Everything has shifted south. Grrr.
While this may not be the one... my gut feeling is that Atlanta will see at least one newsworthy winter event this year.
Keep your fingers crossed!!!
I was beginning to believe January would fade with nothing more than a mere “Trace” of SNOW. However, the GFS suddenly put SNOW on the table for the end of the week. Not just a dusting, but 6in+!!!
Of course, my elation has been quickly extinguished by the 12z GFS run. Everything has shifted south. Grrr.
While this may not be the one... my gut feeling is that Atlanta will see at least one newsworthy winter event this year.
Keep your fingers crossed!!!
Atlanta May See a Flake or Five
01/19/2009 15:39
I was hoping for a miracle this afternoon, but it doesn’t look like it will come to pass. Not that there was much of a chance to begin with... However, Atlanta may see a few SNOW showers later this evening into tonite... but I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw nothing at all.
Meanwhile, the outlook for the coming days is not good for us winter weather folks. We warm up this weekend, and warmer than normal will be the story for the final days of January.
Time is running out for the elusive “SNOW Jam 2009”... It’s painful to watch a January go into the books without a major winter event. Hopefully February will offer up a few more chances before I begin the long countdown to Fall 2009. Here’s to hoping!
Meanwhile, the outlook for the coming days is not good for us winter weather folks. We warm up this weekend, and warmer than normal will be the story for the final days of January.
Time is running out for the elusive “SNOW Jam 2009”... It’s painful to watch a January go into the books without a major winter event. Hopefully February will offer up a few more chances before I begin the long countdown to Fall 2009. Here’s to hoping!
Cloudy. A Near 100% Chance of Disappointment
01/17/2009 12:35
It looks like the current threat for wintery weather will be a complete disappointment. A classic south-eastern, miserable experience. It is cold and very dry. The precip will fall through this dry air and will initially freeze (evaporative cooling). It will eventually reach the ground and things become more saturated, teasing us with very light sleet. This sleet will quickly turn to light rain. The rain will end before the next shot of cold air comes in... and we will get another tease with a brief flake or two of SNOW... and it will be that annoying, look up and see a clearing sky with a stray flake or two...
Here is a graphical representation of this torture:
Don’t get too excited about the little SNOW chances shortly afterward. They are very light and will probably fall off future GFS runs anyhow.
I hate this winter so far... I HATE IT!!! And I’m quickly losing hope going forward...
Here is a graphical representation of this torture:
Don’t get too excited about the little SNOW chances shortly afterward. They are very light and will probably fall off future GFS runs anyhow.
I hate this winter so far... I HATE IT!!! And I’m quickly losing hope going forward...
Flip Flop... But Don't Get Too Excited...
01/16/2009 13:16
It seems the NWS has flip flopped back to a chance of SNOW...
Unfortunately, things look to warm up fairly quickly on Sunday.
Personally, I think Atlanta will see a little SNOW. I don’t think it will amount to much, and it will probably be brief (provided the moisture gets here before daybreak Sunday). The northern ‘burbs might see a dusting before changing to all rain.
The models continue to be all over the place... and it is VERY COLD outside right now... So who knows!?
Unfortunately, things look to warm up fairly quickly on Sunday.
Personally, I think Atlanta will see a little SNOW. I don’t think it will amount to much, and it will probably be brief (provided the moisture gets here before daybreak Sunday). The northern ‘burbs might see a dusting before changing to all rain.
The models continue to be all over the place... and it is VERY COLD outside right now... So who knows!?
Only One Thing is Certain
01/15/2009 15:58
Tonite, tomorrow, and tomorrow nite will be cold... Very cold... lows in the lower teens...
Less certain is wintery fun on Sunday. Models are still inconsistent, but it does appear that moisture has increased (on the GFS anyway). The bad news is that it comes with warmer temps. It is looking now like we have a mostly rain event for the Atlanta area. Maybe mixing with sleet at times, but nothing to get excited about.
Less certain is wintery fun on Sunday. Models are still inconsistent, but it does appear that moisture has increased (on the GFS anyway). The bad news is that it comes with warmer temps. It is looking now like we have a mostly rain event for the Atlanta area. Maybe mixing with sleet at times, but nothing to get excited about.
SNOW Tease...
01/14/2009 16:24
It seems as though the NWS has SNOW in the forecast for Sunday... And check out the lows Thursday and Friday nite... 14 and 13!?! That’s COLD!
Too bad the precip chances are only 20% with rain wording. However, the models have shown no consistency for this “threat” with each run. So I’m still hoping for something more significant!!!
Too bad the precip chances are only 20% with rain wording. However, the models have shown no consistency for this “threat” with each run. So I’m still hoping for something more significant!!!
The Ice Sheets Advance...
01/13/2009 17:37
...in Greenland... But here in Atlanta, it will feel like an ice sheet advancing on us! Dangerous cold is on the way... By Friday morning, temperatures will be in the low teens for the ‘burbs and not much warmer in town! Keep your pets inside, provide food for outdoor birds, and let your faucets drip...
Still nothing (of substance) on the horizon as far as a winter weather event. However, we definitely will have the cold air in place going into next week. There is a lot of chaos between model runs, and stranger things have happened. It isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility that something suddenly show up in the coming days. Outside chances (however small) with cold air in place is better than nothing! I’m grateful than I can continue to dream...
Still nothing (of substance) on the horizon as far as a winter weather event. However, we definitely will have the cold air in place going into next week. There is a lot of chaos between model runs, and stranger things have happened. It isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility that something suddenly show up in the coming days. Outside chances (however small) with cold air in place is better than nothing! I’m grateful than I can continue to dream...
FFC Mentions the "S" Word
01/08/2009 17:21
From the Atlanta NWS Forecast Discussion:
OVERALL...THE EXTENDED PERIODS LOOK DRY WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA MID-WEEK AND CONTINUES TO REINFORCE THE COLD
AIR...BUT DOES NOT HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO SUPPORT PCPN...EXPECT
POSSIBLY OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED -SHSN IN THE N GA MOUNTAINS. THEN...
THE MAIN ARCTIC FRONT OF THE WEEK...SUPPORTED BY THE 1059MB ARCTIC
HIGH REFERENCED ABOVE...MOVES INTO THE AREA AT THE VERY END OF THE
EXTENDED. LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR LIGHT WINTER TYPE PCPN. THICKNESS AND TEMPS
DICTATE THAT MUCH OF THIS WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW OR SLEET...SO
FOR NOW AM FORCED TO ADVERTISE SLGHT CHC -SN ACROSS THE N HALF OF
THE CWA AND -RA ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED...HOWEVER...THAT SNOW EVENTS IN THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF COLD
FRONTS...OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS...ARE VERY RARE...SO CONFIDENCE IN
THIS ACTUALLY OCCURRING IS LOW.
OVERALL...THE EXTENDED PERIODS LOOK DRY WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA MID-WEEK AND CONTINUES TO REINFORCE THE COLD
AIR...BUT DOES NOT HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO SUPPORT PCPN...EXPECT
POSSIBLY OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED -SHSN IN THE N GA MOUNTAINS. THEN...
THE MAIN ARCTIC FRONT OF THE WEEK...SUPPORTED BY THE 1059MB ARCTIC
HIGH REFERENCED ABOVE...MOVES INTO THE AREA AT THE VERY END OF THE
EXTENDED. LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR LIGHT WINTER TYPE PCPN. THICKNESS AND TEMPS
DICTATE THAT MUCH OF THIS WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW OR SLEET...SO
FOR NOW AM FORCED TO ADVERTISE SLGHT CHC -SN ACROSS THE N HALF OF
THE CWA AND -RA ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED...HOWEVER...THAT SNOW EVENTS IN THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF COLD
FRONTS...OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS...ARE VERY RARE...SO CONFIDENCE IN
THIS ACTUALLY OCCURRING IS LOW.
Next Week: HOLY FREAKIN' BRRRRR!!!
01/07/2009 17:23
Well... The mild weather is over. The cold returns early next week, and it could be brutal. Records lows are expected across the deep south.
And how about a little later in the week... an ice storm? hmmm...
And how about a little later in the week... an ice storm? hmmm...
No Snow This Week... BUT...
01/06/2009 00:31
Doesn’t look like we are going to get any SNOW in the Atlanta area this week... However, the most recent GFS run shows some potential for next week!
And AccuWeather.com has this fun little graphic.
I hope the next few days continue to show a good storm for our area! Please don’t let this be yet another false hope!!
And AccuWeather.com has this fun little graphic.
I hope the next few days continue to show a good storm for our area! Please don’t let this be yet another false hope!!
