Nov 2011
Early Season Winter Weather Event?
11/27/2011 19:31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
651 PM EST SUN NOV 27 2011
..EARLY SEASON WINTRY PRECIP POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY...
PHASE 2...WINTRY WX POTENTIAL...
TO BE CLEAR...AT THIS POINT...THE FLOODING POTENTIAL IS BY FAR THE
MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT EXPECTED THIS WEEK BUT NEED TO MONITOR
CLOSELY WINTRY SCENARIO LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
GFS AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN BRINGING A SIGNIFICANT
SHORTWAVE SPOKE FROM TENNESSEE VALLEY UPPER LOW THROUGH THE AREA
EARLY TUESDAY. GIVEN COLD CORE NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM...INSTABILITY
DRIVEN SHRA ARE LOOKING MORE PROBABLE AND THE QUESTION TURNS TO IN
WHAT FORM. PARTIAL THICKNESSES AND SOUNDINGS ALL POINT TO -SNSH
FOR MOST OF NORTH GA THROUGH 15Z TUE. THE PROBLEM IS THE SURFACE
WET BULBS WHICH LOOK TO STRUGGLE TO GET COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
SNOW ALL THE WAY TO THE SURFACE. FEEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN TIER
WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES BUT AREAS WITH BURSTS IN INTENSITY WILL
HAVE GREATER CHANCES FOR FROZEN PRECIP AS WELL. HAVE OPTED TO
INDICATE -SNSH FOR THE NORTHERN TIER...MOSTLY THE MOUNTAINS...AND
A MIX FURTHER SOUTH. REGARDLESS...WARM GROUND TEMPS WILL MAKE IT
DIFFICULT FOR ANYTHING TO STICK. MAIN AREA FOR CONCERN WOULD BE NE
MOUNTAINS AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR CLOSELY WITH SUBSEQUENT
FORECASTS.
Let the fun begin!!!