Jan 2009
Bye Bye January
01/31/2009 09:27
Today is the last day of January 2009. A memorable January, this has not been. As we banish this wasted January off to the annals of boredom, I pray that February offers some redemption for winter 2009.
Unfortunately, the first days of February don’t really offer us much.
The “storm” that has been the buzz for most of the past week has all but fallen off most model runs (at least for us anyhow). The pieces are still there, but they just don’t come together as the models so evilly teased us with earlier. Moisture is limited in most recent runs, and we will be lucky to even see much in the way of rain.
There are some hints that we could see a passing Flurry or four late Monday into Tuesday and Wednesday. It wouldn’t surprise me if we actually saw a brief dusting in some places. However, the chances of an actual widespread Atlanta SNOW storm are pretty much off the table now. Of course if anything changes, you know I’ll post it right away. Miracles do happen but don’t bet on one.
After the non-event for early this week, February looks to continue the same old story of little in the way of wintery fun. The only glimmer of hope is that the models continue to be all over the place (i.e. anything is possible), and there is still a slightly negative NAO (see picture below). February still has potential to offer something exciting, but my expectations are low.
Unfortunately, the first days of February don’t really offer us much.
The “storm” that has been the buzz for most of the past week has all but fallen off most model runs (at least for us anyhow). The pieces are still there, but they just don’t come together as the models so evilly teased us with earlier. Moisture is limited in most recent runs, and we will be lucky to even see much in the way of rain.
There are some hints that we could see a passing Flurry or four late Monday into Tuesday and Wednesday. It wouldn’t surprise me if we actually saw a brief dusting in some places. However, the chances of an actual widespread Atlanta SNOW storm are pretty much off the table now. Of course if anything changes, you know I’ll post it right away. Miracles do happen but don’t bet on one.
After the non-event for early this week, February looks to continue the same old story of little in the way of wintery fun. The only glimmer of hope is that the models continue to be all over the place (i.e. anything is possible), and there is still a slightly negative NAO (see picture below). February still has potential to offer something exciting, but my expectations are low.
Frustration & Disappointment...
01/30/2009 17:08
*** SIGH ***
You know... I don’t ask for much... Just some SNOW for Atlanta...
Seriously, what the #$@* gives?!? The last couple of days, the model runs look promising. Not much changed until today. Now they have mostly gone to giving us nothing.
At least I never preached that it was going to be the Blizzard of ’93 all over again. Unless this thing comes back, accuweather is going to look like a bunch of fools (ok, some say this happened long ago)...
Meanwhile, here is the bad news from FFC:
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BOTH GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SPIN UP A SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF REGION BY MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TRACKING THE SURFACE LOW OVER FLORIDA AND UP THE EAST COAST
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS ON
MONDAY ALL ZONES. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A LARGE DRY
SLOT SLIPPING IN BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL GREATLY
HINDER THE SNOW THREAT FOR MONDAY NIGHT. BASICALLY DRY AIR PUSHES
UP FROM THE SW AS THE COLD TEMPERATURES ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING. STILL
EXPECT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW OVER NORTH GA WHERE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
OF ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION FURTHER SOUTH HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED
WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. THEREFORE...HAVE TWEAKED POPS BACK TO
CHANCE ALL AREAS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... AND ONLY MENTION RAIN OR SNOW
FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A NEWNAN TO MADISON TO WASHINGTON
LINE. HAVE ADDED MENTION OF SNOW FLURRIES TO THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS
AGAIN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
SWING DOWN FROM THE NORTH WITH VERY COLD AIR IN PLACE.
AT THIS TIME...WITH MODEL TRENDS BACKING AWAY FROM ANY SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... HAVE DECIDED NOT TO DO A
WEB BRIEF FOR EM`S THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...EM`S AND RESIDENTS OF
CONCERN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST DISCUSSIONS
AND ANY SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS THAT MAY BE ISSUED IN REFERENCE
TO THE SNOW THREAT MONDAY NIGHT. IF THE SITUATION CHANGES FOR THE
WORSE...A WEB BRIEFING WILL BE SCHEDULED FOR EM`S NO LATER THAN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
You know... I don’t ask for much... Just some SNOW for Atlanta...
Seriously, what the #$@* gives?!? The last couple of days, the model runs look promising. Not much changed until today. Now they have mostly gone to giving us nothing.
At least I never preached that it was going to be the Blizzard of ’93 all over again. Unless this thing comes back, accuweather is going to look like a bunch of fools (ok, some say this happened long ago)...
Meanwhile, here is the bad news from FFC:
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
BOTH GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SPIN UP A SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF REGION BY MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH TRACKING THE SURFACE LOW OVER FLORIDA AND UP THE EAST COAST
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS ON
MONDAY ALL ZONES. HOWEVER...BOTH MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A LARGE DRY
SLOT SLIPPING IN BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL GREATLY
HINDER THE SNOW THREAT FOR MONDAY NIGHT. BASICALLY DRY AIR PUSHES
UP FROM THE SW AS THE COLD TEMPERATURES ARRIVE MONDAY EVENING. STILL
EXPECT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW OVER NORTH GA WHERE FROM 1 TO 2
INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE THREAT
OF ANY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION FURTHER SOUTH HAS GREATLY DIMINISHED
WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. THEREFORE...HAVE TWEAKED POPS BACK TO
CHANCE ALL AREAS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... AND ONLY MENTION RAIN OR SNOW
FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A NEWNAN TO MADISON TO WASHINGTON
LINE. HAVE ADDED MENTION OF SNOW FLURRIES TO THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS
AGAIN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AS WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
SWING DOWN FROM THE NORTH WITH VERY COLD AIR IN PLACE.
AT THIS TIME...WITH MODEL TRENDS BACKING AWAY FROM ANY SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR MONDAY NIGHT... HAVE DECIDED NOT TO DO A
WEB BRIEF FOR EM`S THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...EM`S AND RESIDENTS OF
CONCERN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST DISCUSSIONS
AND ANY SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTS THAT MAY BE ISSUED IN REFERENCE
TO THE SNOW THREAT MONDAY NIGHT. IF THE SITUATION CHANGES FOR THE
WORSE...A WEB BRIEFING WILL BE SCHEDULED FOR EM`S NO LATER THAN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
Not Much Has Changed
01/30/2009 09:31
Not much has changed since yesterday. The models continue to drift here and there, but they still show the storm.
The hype for this thing continues to an almost ridiculous level - especially over on accuweather.com. They are calling it the “Groundhog Day Monster Storm” and have mentioned the March 1993 Blizzard in comparison. I don’t think this will be that epic, but I do think some are going to get slammed by some heavy SNOW. No one knows where just yet, but TN is looking pretty right now.
As of now, I still stick by the forecast I made yesterday. However, I have added a timeframe: Atlanta will see rain starting late Sunday night. The rain will continue through the day on Monday with a brief change over to light SNOW after 6-8pm. The light SNOW will taper off to flurries after midnight. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch. (Of course, you know I’m praying that Atlanta gets a foot of SNOW!)
The hype for this thing continues to an almost ridiculous level - especially over on accuweather.com. They are calling it the “Groundhog Day Monster Storm” and have mentioned the March 1993 Blizzard in comparison. I don’t think this will be that epic, but I do think some are going to get slammed by some heavy SNOW. No one knows where just yet, but TN is looking pretty right now.
As of now, I still stick by the forecast I made yesterday. However, I have added a timeframe: Atlanta will see rain starting late Sunday night. The rain will continue through the day on Monday with a brief change over to light SNOW after 6-8pm. The light SNOW will taper off to flurries after midnight. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch. (Of course, you know I’m praying that Atlanta gets a foot of SNOW!)
Nail Biting Begins
01/29/2009 11:29
The models continue to show a very borderline setup for an Atlanta SNOW Storm this Monday (into Monday night). Unfortunately, we are on the wrong side of that border at this time.
As of now, it looks like the surface low that forms in the Gulf of Mexico is tracking a little too far north. The low then curves to the north-east a little too soon. This puts Atlanta into the forecast that has made my skin crawl since I was a child: “A cold rain”.
But... There is still some hope. The system could track a little more to the south and then curve to the north-east a little later. Or the system could deepen and pull in more cold air. Neither of these scenarios look likely, but they aren’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
If I had to make an “unbiased” forecast right now, this would be it: Atlanta sees mostly rain with a brief change over to light SNOW. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch.
As of now, it looks like the surface low that forms in the Gulf of Mexico is tracking a little too far north. The low then curves to the north-east a little too soon. This puts Atlanta into the forecast that has made my skin crawl since I was a child: “A cold rain”.
But... There is still some hope. The system could track a little more to the south and then curve to the north-east a little later. Or the system could deepen and pull in more cold air. Neither of these scenarios look likely, but they aren’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
If I had to make an “unbiased” forecast right now, this would be it: Atlanta sees mostly rain with a brief change over to light SNOW. Areas north of I-20 and west of I-85 could see a dusting to half-inch, while the extreme north-western suburbs could see up to an inch.
Early Next Week?
01/28/2009 11:09
We’ve had a couple of model runs that agree with an “interesting” event Monday and Tuesday of next week. Even better, there is some agreement on a series of events. If we miss out on one, there is a chance for another soon after.
I’ll post some more specific details on this threat tomorrow morning (if it continues to show).
I’ll post some more specific details on this threat tomorrow morning (if it continues to show).
From Texas to Maine
01/27/2009 16:22
Check out this map. Winter weather warnings and watches from the Mexican border all the way up to Maine!
But not a thing for us here in Atlanta... As usual...
But not a thing for us here in Atlanta... As usual...
Return of the Cold
01/27/2009 09:47
We still have not had a winter storm threat in Atlanta. It is a near certainty that January will now end with nothing more than just a few flakes of SNOW and sleet peletes.
However, the cold air is returning for February!
The NAO is flipping back to negative. This will bring back the trough to the East that pulls down the cold air. The problem will be if can get any moisture in here. The last time this happened, we were stuck in a NW flow that kept us cold and dry. Let’s hope February is a little kinder to us SNOW lovers! Winter is not over yet!
However, the cold air is returning for February!
The NAO is flipping back to negative. This will bring back the trough to the East that pulls down the cold air. The problem will be if can get any moisture in here. The last time this happened, we were stuck in a NW flow that kept us cold and dry. Let’s hope February is a little kinder to us SNOW lovers! Winter is not over yet!
From Boredom to Flat Out Angry!!!
01/25/2009 18:50
I should have known better.
The brief SNOW tease is all but gone now. The Euro never caught on and the 12z and 18z GFS show nothing close to a SNOW storm now.
**sigh**
What gives?!? Why can’t Atlanta get a SNOW storm? Why is it so hard now? It seems we had at least one or two every year as a kid back in the 1980’s...
D*&^%$@!! I want SNOW. This is unacceptable, and I demand to speak with the manager!
***more sighing***
I hate the GFS. I hate life. I’m now going to go curl up in the fetal position, listen to Morrissey, and feel all pathetic.
The brief SNOW tease is all but gone now. The Euro never caught on and the 12z and 18z GFS show nothing close to a SNOW storm now.
**sigh**
What gives?!? Why can’t Atlanta get a SNOW storm? Why is it so hard now? It seems we had at least one or two every year as a kid back in the 1980’s...
D*&^%$@!! I want SNOW. This is unacceptable, and I demand to speak with the manager!
***more sighing***
I hate the GFS. I hate life. I’m now going to go curl up in the fetal position, listen to Morrissey, and feel all pathetic.
Boredom Over?
01/25/2009 12:36
Wow... Funny how quickly things can change in the land of Weather!
I was beginning to believe January would fade with nothing more than a mere “Trace” of SNOW. However, the GFS suddenly put SNOW on the table for the end of the week. Not just a dusting, but 6in+!!!
Of course, my elation has been quickly extinguished by the 12z GFS run. Everything has shifted south. Grrr.
While this may not be the one... my gut feeling is that Atlanta will see at least one newsworthy winter event this year.
Keep your fingers crossed!!!
I was beginning to believe January would fade with nothing more than a mere “Trace” of SNOW. However, the GFS suddenly put SNOW on the table for the end of the week. Not just a dusting, but 6in+!!!
Of course, my elation has been quickly extinguished by the 12z GFS run. Everything has shifted south. Grrr.
While this may not be the one... my gut feeling is that Atlanta will see at least one newsworthy winter event this year.
Keep your fingers crossed!!!
***YAWN***
01/24/2009 15:33
Nothing is worse than the calendar showing January, and nary a winter storm in sight. Nothing. Nada. Hopefully February will put out.
Boring
01/21/2009 14:50
Nothing exciting to talk about right now. Maybe a storm threat for next week, but it isn’t worth going into details now.
Meanwhile, I’ve added more to the site!
Meanwhile, I’ve added more to the site!
Atlanta May See a Flake or Five
01/19/2009 15:39
I was hoping for a miracle this afternoon, but it doesn’t look like it will come to pass. Not that there was much of a chance to begin with... However, Atlanta may see a few SNOW showers later this evening into tonite... but I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw nothing at all.
Meanwhile, the outlook for the coming days is not good for us winter weather folks. We warm up this weekend, and warmer than normal will be the story for the final days of January.
Time is running out for the elusive “SNOW Jam 2009”... It’s painful to watch a January go into the books without a major winter event. Hopefully February will offer up a few more chances before I begin the long countdown to Fall 2009. Here’s to hoping!
Meanwhile, the outlook for the coming days is not good for us winter weather folks. We warm up this weekend, and warmer than normal will be the story for the final days of January.
Time is running out for the elusive “SNOW Jam 2009”... It’s painful to watch a January go into the books without a major winter event. Hopefully February will offer up a few more chances before I begin the long countdown to Fall 2009. Here’s to hoping!
Today May Get More Interesting
01/19/2009 08:25
Things might get more interesting later today! I sure hope it does! Regardless, our friends to the east are definitely going to be in for a pleasant surprise!!! More later...
So... What's next?
01/18/2009 20:48
So... Is there anything in the next week or so to get excited about? Good question!!!
There are TWO events that are showing up on the models:
1.) Tomorrow evening into Tuesday... The GFS is showing a small amount of moisture over the Atlanta area in the form of SNOW... As of now, it wouldn’t be any more than just a dusting...
2.) Next Weekend... There have been whispers of an actual “SNOW Storm” showing on the European model... I have yet to see these actual maps, but the sources are reputable... Meanwhile, the GFS continues to show a “January thaw” and nothing but rain for next weekend... we shall see...
While I’m completely disappointed that January is nearly over, and we have seen little in the way of winter fun... I do have a good feeling (for now) that winter still might offer us some frozen delight! Keep hope alive!!!
There are TWO events that are showing up on the models:
1.) Tomorrow evening into Tuesday... The GFS is showing a small amount of moisture over the Atlanta area in the form of SNOW... As of now, it wouldn’t be any more than just a dusting...
2.) Next Weekend... There have been whispers of an actual “SNOW Storm” showing on the European model... I have yet to see these actual maps, but the sources are reputable... Meanwhile, the GFS continues to show a “January thaw” and nothing but rain for next weekend... we shall see...
While I’m completely disappointed that January is nearly over, and we have seen little in the way of winter fun... I do have a good feeling (for now) that winter still might offer us some frozen delight! Keep hope alive!!!
Yesterday's Non-Event...
01/18/2009 20:18
Here is a short video/picture of the VERY brief SNOW in Atlanta yesterday:
As I pretty much expected... Yesterday was a complete non-event... but I was disappointed none the less... All we got was a brief SNOW flurry followed by a few periods of light sleet...
As I pretty much expected... Yesterday was a complete non-event... but I was disappointed none the less... All we got was a brief SNOW flurry followed by a few periods of light sleet...
Cloudy. A Near 100% Chance of Disappointment
01/17/2009 12:35
It looks like the current threat for wintery weather will be a complete disappointment. A classic south-eastern, miserable experience. It is cold and very dry. The precip will fall through this dry air and will initially freeze (evaporative cooling). It will eventually reach the ground and things become more saturated, teasing us with very light sleet. This sleet will quickly turn to light rain. The rain will end before the next shot of cold air comes in... and we will get another tease with a brief flake or two of SNOW... and it will be that annoying, look up and see a clearing sky with a stray flake or two...
Here is a graphical representation of this torture:
Don’t get too excited about the little SNOW chances shortly afterward. They are very light and will probably fall off future GFS runs anyhow.
I hate this winter so far... I HATE IT!!! And I’m quickly losing hope going forward...
Here is a graphical representation of this torture:
Don’t get too excited about the little SNOW chances shortly afterward. They are very light and will probably fall off future GFS runs anyhow.
I hate this winter so far... I HATE IT!!! And I’m quickly losing hope going forward...
Flip Flop... But Don't Get Too Excited...
01/16/2009 13:16
It seems the NWS has flip flopped back to a chance of SNOW...
Unfortunately, things look to warm up fairly quickly on Sunday.
Personally, I think Atlanta will see a little SNOW. I don’t think it will amount to much, and it will probably be brief (provided the moisture gets here before daybreak Sunday). The northern ‘burbs might see a dusting before changing to all rain.
The models continue to be all over the place... and it is VERY COLD outside right now... So who knows!?
Unfortunately, things look to warm up fairly quickly on Sunday.
Personally, I think Atlanta will see a little SNOW. I don’t think it will amount to much, and it will probably be brief (provided the moisture gets here before daybreak Sunday). The northern ‘burbs might see a dusting before changing to all rain.
The models continue to be all over the place... and it is VERY COLD outside right now... So who knows!?
Only One Thing is Certain
01/15/2009 15:58
Tonite, tomorrow, and tomorrow nite will be cold... Very cold... lows in the lower teens...
Less certain is wintery fun on Sunday. Models are still inconsistent, but it does appear that moisture has increased (on the GFS anyway). The bad news is that it comes with warmer temps. It is looking now like we have a mostly rain event for the Atlanta area. Maybe mixing with sleet at times, but nothing to get excited about.
Less certain is wintery fun on Sunday. Models are still inconsistent, but it does appear that moisture has increased (on the GFS anyway). The bad news is that it comes with warmer temps. It is looking now like we have a mostly rain event for the Atlanta area. Maybe mixing with sleet at times, but nothing to get excited about.
SNOW Tease...
01/14/2009 16:24
It seems as though the NWS has SNOW in the forecast for Sunday... And check out the lows Thursday and Friday nite... 14 and 13!?! That’s COLD!
Too bad the precip chances are only 20% with rain wording. However, the models have shown no consistency for this “threat” with each run. So I’m still hoping for something more significant!!!
Too bad the precip chances are only 20% with rain wording. However, the models have shown no consistency for this “threat” with each run. So I’m still hoping for something more significant!!!
The Ice Sheets Advance...
01/13/2009 17:37
...in Greenland... But here in Atlanta, it will feel like an ice sheet advancing on us! Dangerous cold is on the way... By Friday morning, temperatures will be in the low teens for the ‘burbs and not much warmer in town! Keep your pets inside, provide food for outdoor birds, and let your faucets drip...
Still nothing (of substance) on the horizon as far as a winter weather event. However, we definitely will have the cold air in place going into next week. There is a lot of chaos between model runs, and stranger things have happened. It isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility that something suddenly show up in the coming days. Outside chances (however small) with cold air in place is better than nothing! I’m grateful than I can continue to dream...
Still nothing (of substance) on the horizon as far as a winter weather event. However, we definitely will have the cold air in place going into next week. There is a lot of chaos between model runs, and stranger things have happened. It isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility that something suddenly show up in the coming days. Outside chances (however small) with cold air in place is better than nothing! I’m grateful than I can continue to dream...
Another Wasted January Day...
01/12/2009 17:27
Cold and dry. That is the story until next week. The GFS shows a tiny bit of moisture late this weekend, but certainly nothing to get excited about. Only a sliver of hope in that the swing to positive NAO will not last long. But La Nina’s nasty face is showing itself again, so dry will continue to be the old, tired story. Not good for SNOW lovers or the drought situation!
I Am Trying... to Believe...
01/11/2009 23:36
Things are not looking good for SNOW lovers. Models are mostly showing very cold (that’s good!) and very dry (that sux!!!). I won’t lie, I got my hopes up last week. I really thought a winter event was near certain this week. That is what I get for trusting (especially) the GFS. The GFS does this every year. It teases with fantastic winter storms that just disappear when within 5-7 days. It almost makes one wonder why the heck they even run it for beyond 7 days...
But... I am still trying to believe... We are in that sweet spot for winter. However, if it doesn’t SNOW in the next week or two, then it likely will not SNOW in Atlanta this year. Even worse, things look to moderate after next week.
Bleh... I hate spring and summer... I am not looking forward to when the trees start budding and things turn that icky shade of new green... yuck... But a good SNOW would lessen that nasty feeling as we go into the worst 8 months of the year...
Please SNOW already!!!
But... I am still trying to believe... We are in that sweet spot for winter. However, if it doesn’t SNOW in the next week or two, then it likely will not SNOW in Atlanta this year. Even worse, things look to moderate after next week.
Bleh... I hate spring and summer... I am not looking forward to when the trees start budding and things turn that icky shade of new green... yuck... But a good SNOW would lessen that nasty feeling as we go into the worst 8 months of the year...
Please SNOW already!!!
FFC Mentions the "S" Word
01/08/2009 17:21
From the Atlanta NWS Forecast Discussion:
OVERALL...THE EXTENDED PERIODS LOOK DRY WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA MID-WEEK AND CONTINUES TO REINFORCE THE COLD
AIR...BUT DOES NOT HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO SUPPORT PCPN...EXPECT
POSSIBLY OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED -SHSN IN THE N GA MOUNTAINS. THEN...
THE MAIN ARCTIC FRONT OF THE WEEK...SUPPORTED BY THE 1059MB ARCTIC
HIGH REFERENCED ABOVE...MOVES INTO THE AREA AT THE VERY END OF THE
EXTENDED. LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR LIGHT WINTER TYPE PCPN. THICKNESS AND TEMPS
DICTATE THAT MUCH OF THIS WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW OR SLEET...SO
FOR NOW AM FORCED TO ADVERTISE SLGHT CHC -SN ACROSS THE N HALF OF
THE CWA AND -RA ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED...HOWEVER...THAT SNOW EVENTS IN THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF COLD
FRONTS...OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS...ARE VERY RARE...SO CONFIDENCE IN
THIS ACTUALLY OCCURRING IS LOW.
OVERALL...THE EXTENDED PERIODS LOOK DRY WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IN
PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. AN ALBERTA CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA MID-WEEK AND CONTINUES TO REINFORCE THE COLD
AIR...BUT DOES NOT HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO SUPPORT PCPN...EXPECT
POSSIBLY OROGRAPHICALLY INDUCED -SHSN IN THE N GA MOUNTAINS. THEN...
THE MAIN ARCTIC FRONT OF THE WEEK...SUPPORTED BY THE 1059MB ARCTIC
HIGH REFERENCED ABOVE...MOVES INTO THE AREA AT THE VERY END OF THE
EXTENDED. LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR LIGHT WINTER TYPE PCPN. THICKNESS AND TEMPS
DICTATE THAT MUCH OF THIS WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW OR SLEET...SO
FOR NOW AM FORCED TO ADVERTISE SLGHT CHC -SN ACROSS THE N HALF OF
THE CWA AND -RA ACROSS THE SOUTH HALF. IT SHOULD BE
NOTED...HOWEVER...THAT SNOW EVENTS IN THE SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF COLD
FRONTS...OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS...ARE VERY RARE...SO CONFIDENCE IN
THIS ACTUALLY OCCURRING IS LOW.
Next Week: HOLY FREAKIN' BRRRRR!!!
01/07/2009 17:23
Well... The mild weather is over. The cold returns early next week, and it could be brutal. Records lows are expected across the deep south.
And how about a little later in the week... an ice storm? hmmm...
And how about a little later in the week... an ice storm? hmmm...
Update: Tornado Watch Canceled
01/06/2009 21:24
The line of storms has all but fallen apart... and SPC has canceled the aforementioned Tornado Watch (#4)...
Tornado Watch for Atlanta/North GA
01/06/2009 17:36
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 4
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009
TORNADO WATCH 4 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
GAC011-013-015-045-057-059-063-067-077-085-089-097-105-111-113-
115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-157-187-195-
213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-297-311-
070400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0004.090106T2240Z-090107T0400Z/
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAYTON COBB COWETA
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PAULDING
PICKENS POLK RABUN
ROCKDALE STEPHENS TOWNS
UNION WALTON WHITE
$$
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EST TUE JAN 6 2009
TORNADO WATCH 4 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
GAC011-013-015-045-057-059-063-067-077-085-089-097-105-111-113-
115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-157-187-195-
213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-297-311-
070400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0004.090106T2240Z-090107T0400Z/
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CHEROKEE CLARKE
CLAYTON COBB COWETA
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MURRAY NEWTON
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PAULDING
PICKENS POLK RABUN
ROCKDALE STEPHENS TOWNS
UNION WALTON WHITE
$$
Severe Storms Next Door
01/06/2009 16:55
Pretty impressive line of storms over in Alabama... Many discrete cells in a near perfect straight line...
No Snow This Week... BUT...
01/06/2009 00:31
Doesn’t look like we are going to get any SNOW in the Atlanta area this week... However, the most recent GFS run shows some potential for next week!
And AccuWeather.com has this fun little graphic.
I hope the next few days continue to show a good storm for our area! Please don’t let this be yet another false hope!!
And AccuWeather.com has this fun little graphic.
I hope the next few days continue to show a good storm for our area! Please don’t let this be yet another false hope!!